// Active Threat Landscape
CYBER
OPS
APT groups, ICS attacks, nation-state implants, and the infrastructure wars being fought below the threshold of conventional conflict.
Global Threat Posture
Threat Environment
Operations & Analysis
Active Fronts
ICS / SCADA Attacks
Industrial control systems run power grids, water treatment, and pipeline infrastructure. They were never designed for adversarial environments. Sandworm proved what happens when they meet a capable state actor.
// NotPetya — 2017 — Estimated damage
TARGET: Maersk, Merck, FedEx, Mondelez
VECTOR: M.E.Doc supply chain compromise
DAMAGE: ~$10 billion USD
STATUS: Attributed to Sandworm / GRU Unit 74455
TARGET: Maersk, Merck, FedEx, Mondelez
VECTOR: M.E.Doc supply chain compromise
DAMAGE: ~$10 billion USD
STATUS: Attributed to Sandworm / GRU Unit 74455
Commercial Spyware
Pegasus, Predator, Hermit. The commoditisation of zero-click exploits means sophisticated surveillance tools are no longer exclusive to superpowers. The ecosystem is now global, and deeply uncomfortable.
// Pegasus iMessage zero-click
VECTOR: Forced-entry, zero interaction
ACCESS: Microphone, camera, messages, GPS
VENDOR: NSO Group (IL) / licensed to 45+ govts
// Citizen Lab tracks active deployments
VECTOR: Forced-entry, zero interaction
ACCESS: Microphone, camera, messages, GPS
VENDOR: NSO Group (IL) / licensed to 45+ govts
// Citizen Lab tracks active deployments
Supply Chain Compromise
SolarWinds taught us that the most trusted software can become the most dangerous vector. Backdooring updates pushes attacker access to every downstream customer simultaneously — elegant and brutal.
// SolarWinds SUNBURST — 2020
ACTOR: APT29 / Cozy Bear / SVR
REACH: 18,000+ installations compromised
TARGETS: Treasury, DHS, CISA, Pentagon
// Persisted 9 months undetected
ACTOR: APT29 / Cozy Bear / SVR
REACH: 18,000+ installations compromised
TARGETS: Treasury, DHS, CISA, Pentagon
// Persisted 9 months undetected
Pre-Positioning
Volt Typhoon doesn't attack immediately. It hides in critical infrastructure, building persistence for activation during a crisis. This is deterrence-era cyber: not destruction now, but the credible threat of it later.
// Volt Typhoon — PRC — 2023-present
ACTOR: PLA-linked, MSS-assessed
TARGETS: US water, comms, power, transport
METHOD: Living-off-the-land (LOTL)
// Purpose: Crisis activation, not espionage
ACTOR: PLA-linked, MSS-assessed
TARGETS: US water, comms, power, transport
METHOD: Living-off-the-land (LOTL)
// Purpose: Crisis activation, not espionage
Threat Actors
APT Tracker
Open-source tracking of known advanced persistent threat groups. Attributions are public record — sourced from government advisories, private security research, and indictments.
| Group | Nation | Primary Targets | Known For | Threat Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandworm | Russia (GRU) | Energy, Ukraine critical infra | NotPetya, Ukraine power grid attacks | Critical |
| Lazarus Group | DPRK | Financial, crypto, defence | WannaCry, $1.7B crypto heists | Critical |
| APT29 / Cozy Bear | Russia (SVR) | Government, think tanks, pharma | SolarWinds, COVID vaccine research | Critical |
| Volt Typhoon | China (PLA) | US critical infrastructure | LOTL persistence, pre-positioning | Critical |
| APT28 / Fancy Bear | Russia (GRU) | Elections, NATO, media | DNC breach, election interference | High |
| APT40 / TEMP.Periscope | China (MSS) | Naval, maritime, research | Naval R&D theft, COVID data ops | High |
| Turla / Venomous Bear | Russia (FSB) | Diplomatic, defence ministries | Novel implants, satellite C2 | High |
| MuddyWater | Iran (MOIS) | Middle East governments, telecoms | Spearphishing, custom RATs | Medium |
// SOURCES: CISA ADVISORIES, NSA PUBLICATIONS, MITRE ATT&CK, CROWDSTRIKE, MANDIANT THREAT INTELLIGENCE
$ cat recommended_reading.txt # cyberwar shelf
→ "Countdown to Zero Day" — Kim Zetter (Stuxnet)
→ "Sandworm" — Andy Greenberg (GRU Unit 74455)
→ "The Perfect Weapon" — David Sanger (US cyber policy)
→ "This Is How They Tell Me the World Ends" — Nicole Perlroth (0-days)
→ "Fancy Bear Goes Phishing" — Scott Shapiro (hacker theory)